Sunday, September 19, 2004
A Minimal-Choice Election: The Killers Win No Matter What
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Monday, September 20 Indonesia is due to hold a presidential election
which the country's murderous security forces are due to win no matter what.
Megawati Sukarnoputri, the incumbent president, took power three years ago
behind army cannons (her predecessor, undercut by the armed forces, was
impeached and she, as vice president, ascended) and later publicly told the
military not to "worry about human rights" ("Indonesia's Megawati tells troops
not to worry about rights abuses," AFP, December 29, 2001). But she is widely
seen as incompetent, and, polls say, may be voted out for a smooth-talking
former general, Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono.
As is often the case in minimal-choice elections -- which is to say, most
elections in most countries -- this one has turned to an important extent on
culturally resonant trivia (in this case, the general's poll ratings soared
after he was personally insulted by the president's husband), and on voters
being compelled to make fine, far-fetched, often grim, distinctions.
Dewi -- the pseudonym of a resident of a poor kampung in a major city -- says
that her family and friends have been thinking that though they fear and loathe
the army they might vote for Susilo anyway in order to thwart the police. Their
calculation is that bad as the army is, for them the police are worse, and since
the army and police are bitter rivals having an army man on top might marginally
weaken a police force that has gotten "big heads" under Megawati.
Though its the army that does most massacres of civilians, most of that killing
is geographically focused (in pro-independence Acheh and Papua, two of the
country's 32 provinces) and most of the army's extortion is concentrated on the
rich. It is mainly the police who abuse the poor nationwide. That is the
division of labor. Last year the police locked up Dewi's step father and beat
him until the family managed to buy his freedom with 2 million rupiah ($180 US
dollars) -- the equivalent of four months' wages. A few months later her cousin
was beaten to death on the street by a drunken gang of preman police informants.
"[O]n a daily basis," a US Marine Corps study concluded, "the Police are the
most visible instrument of government oppression" ... "one of the most
disliked/hated organizations in the country" ("Indonesia Joint Cultural
Intelligence Seminar," US Marine Corps Warfighting Laboratory, January 14,
1999).
If an Indonesian wants to vote against terror by their country's
US-armed-and-trained security forces, they can't. No candidate represents their
position. They are instead reduced to arcane calculations about which killer
will be less prolific.
Alan Nairn is a freelance journalist. Virtual Nairn blog: www.newsc.blogspot.com
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